Solver answer

How many bluffs does the button's river bet hold?

6-max cash, 100 big blinds · Button opens, big blind calls · River J♠ 8♠ 4♦ 2♣ K♥ · Big blind checks · Button to act

Updated

The solver's answer

The button's whole range

Check 54% Bet 46%

  • ⅒ pot · 6 bb 0%
  • 0.35 pot · 21.5 bb 0%
  • 0.6 pot · 37 bb 15%
  • All-in · 69.4 bb 31%

The button bets a little under half its range at two sizes; both bets mix value hands and bluffs.

J♠8♠4♦2♣K♥
Pot
61.7 bb
Behind
69.4 bb
Big blind
Checks

In a 6-max cash game at 100 big blinds, after the big blind calls the button's 4.1 bb flop c-bet on J♠ 8♠ 4♦ and 24 bb turn bet on the 2♣, then checks the K♥ river, the button moves all in for 69.4 bb with 31% of its range, bets 37 bb with 15% and checks 54%, according to a solver answer published free by Poker Skill.

How the river bets split between value and bluffs

  • A polarized bet holds strong value hands and bluffs, with few hands in between. Here value means top pair or better and a bluff is a hand with no pair.
  • The all-in is 67% value and 33% bluffs. The 37 bb bet is 74% value and 26% bluffs.
  • A bluff-catcher is indifferent to calling when bluffs make up the bet divided by the pot plus two bets: 34.6% for the all-in and 27.3% for the smaller bet. Each bet's bluff share sits close to its price, and the bigger bet carries more bluffs.
  • Sets and two pair mostly move all in (kings 99% of the time). Top pair king-queen prefers the smaller bet (84%). The middle of the range checks: aces, queens and ace-jack every time.

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The full strategy, hand by hand

The button's strategy by hand class
AKQJT98765432
A AA X 100 % AKs B 100 % AQs X 100 % AJs X 100 % ATs X 100 % A9s X 100 % A8s X 100 % A7s X 100 % A6s X 91 % A5s X 63 % A4s X 100 % A3s B 56 % A2s X 100 %
K AKo B 100 % KK B 100 % KQs B 100 % KJs B 100 % KTs B 100 % K9s B 100 % K8s B 100 % K7s B 100 % K6s B 100 % K5s B 100 % K4s B 100 % K3s B 100 % K2s B 100 %
Q AQo X 95 % KQo B 100 % QQ X 100 % QJs Not in this range here QTs X 86 % Q9s X 68 % Q8s Not in this range here Q7s X 94 % Q6s X 61 % Q5s X 55 % Q4s X 100 % Q3s B 89 % Q2s X 100 %
J AJo X 100 % KJo B 100 % QJo X 100 % JJ B 100 % JTs Not in this range here J9s Not in this range here J8s B 100 % J7s Not in this range here J6s Not in this range here J5s Not in this range here J4s B 100 % J3s Not in this range here J2s Not in this range here
T ATo X 100 % KTo B 100 % QTo B 100 % JTo Not in this range here TT Not in this range here T9s X 88 % T8s Not in this range here T7s X 77 % T6s X 97 % T5s X 96 % T4s Not in this range here T3s Not in this range here T2s Not in this range here
9 A9o X 100 % K9o B 100 % Q9o B 88 % J9o Not in this range here T9o X 54 % 99 Not in this range here 98s Not in this range here 97s X 84 % 96s X 99 % 95s Not in this range here 94s Not in this range here 93s Not in this range here 92s Not in this range here
8 A8o X 100 % K8o B 100 % Q8o Not in this range here J8o B 100 % T8o X 100 % 98o X 100 % 88 B 100 % 87s X 100 % 86s Not in this range here 85s X 100 % 84s Not in this range here 83s Not in this range here 82s Not in this range here
7 A7o X 96 % K7o B 100 % Q7o Not in this range here J7o Not in this range here T7o Not in this range here 97o Not in this range here 87o Not in this range here 77 Not in this range here 76s B 100 % 75s B 100 % 74s Not in this range here 73s Not in this range here 72s Not in this range here
6 A6o B 67 % K6o Not in this range here Q6o Not in this range here J6o Not in this range here T6o Not in this range here 96o Not in this range here 86o Not in this range here 76o Not in this range here 66 Not in this range here 65s B 100 % 64s X 100 % 63s Not in this range here 62s Not in this range here
5 A5o X 70 % K5o Not in this range here Q5o Not in this range here J5o Not in this range here T5o Not in this range here 95o Not in this range here 85o Not in this range here 75o Not in this range here 65o Not in this range here 55 X 100 % 54s X 100 % 53s Not in this range here 52s Not in this range here
4 A4o X 100 % K4o Not in this range here Q4o Not in this range here J4o Not in this range here T4o Not in this range here 94o Not in this range here 84o Not in this range here 74o Not in this range here 64o Not in this range here 54o Not in this range here 44 B 100 % 43s Not in this range here 42s Not in this range here
3 A3o B 79 % K3o Not in this range here Q3o Not in this range here J3o Not in this range here T3o Not in this range here 93o Not in this range here 83o Not in this range here 73o Not in this range here 63o Not in this range here 53o Not in this range here 43o Not in this range here 33 X 100 % 32s Not in this range here
2 A2o Not in this range here K2o Not in this range here Q2o Not in this range here J2o Not in this range here T2o Not in this range here 92o Not in this range here 82o Not in this range here 72o Not in this range here 62o Not in this range here 52o Not in this range here 42o Not in this range here 32o Not in this range here 22 B 100 %
  • Check: 54.18% of the range (15.52 combos)
  • Bet ⅒ pot (6 bb): 0.00% of the range (0 combos)
  • Bet 0.35 pot (21.5 bb): 0.00% of the range (0 combos)
  • Bet 0.6 pot (37 bb): 14.88% of the range (4.26 combos)
  • All-in (69.4 bb): 30.95% of the range (8.87 combos)

Each cell is a hand class. Its letter is the action the class takes most (F fold, X check, C call, B bet, R raise) and its number is how often, in percent. In the labels, s means suited and o means offsuit.

Every hand class in the button's range: combos and how often it takes each action
Hand class Combos CheckBet ⅒ pot (6 bb)Bet 0.35 pot (21.5 bb)Bet 0.6 pot (37 bb)All-in (69.4 bb)
AA 1.221 100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
AKs 0.186 0.0%0.0%0.0%87.6%12.4%
AQs 0.015 100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
AJs 1.004 100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
ATs 0.002 100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
A9s 0.003 100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
A8s 0.001 100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
A7s 0.165 99.8%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.2%
A6s 0.172 91.0%0.0%0.0%2.1%6.9%
A5s 0.167 62.9%0.0%0.0%11.8%25.3%
A4s 0.415 100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
A3s 0.439 43.7%0.0%0.0%12.3%44.0%
A2s 0.413 100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
AKo 0.162 0.0%0.0%0.0%19.9%80.1%
KK 0.853 0.0%0.0%0.0%0.9%99.1%
KQs 0.334 0.0%0.0%0.0%64.3%35.7%
KJs 0.17 0.0%0.0%0.0%11.6%88.4%
KTs 0.016 0.0%0.0%0.0%97.2%2.8%
K9s 0.009 0.0%0.0%0.0%88.5%11.5%
K8s 0.004 0.0%0.0%0.0%6.7%93.3%
K7s 0.171 0.0%0.0%0.0%50.4%49.6%
K6s 0.271 0.0%0.0%0.0%33.6%66.4%
K5s 0.309 0.0%0.0%0.0%13.7%86.3%
K4s 0.186 0.0%0.0%0.0%1.2%98.8%
K3s 0.312 0.0%0.0%0.0%63.8%36.2%
K2s 0.088 0.0%0.0%0.0%0.8%99.2%
AQo 0.326 95.2%0.0%0.0%4.8%0.0%
KQo 1.197 0.0%0.0%0.0%83.5%16.5%
QQ 1.726 100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
QTs 0.214 86.4%0.0%0.0%13.6%0.0%
Q9s 0.3 67.9%0.0%0.0%32.0%0.1%
Q7s 0.205 93.8%0.0%0.0%0.2%6.0%
Q6s 0.384 61.0%0.0%0.0%4.3%34.7%
Q5s 0.326 54.9%0.0%0.0%25.6%19.5%
Q4s 0.292 100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Q3s 0.267 10.8%0.0%0.0%9.5%79.8%
Q2s 0.253 100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
AJo 2.327 100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
KJo 0.249 0.0%0.0%0.0%21.5%78.5%
QJo 0.001 100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
JJ 0.605 0.0%0.0%0.0%60.9%39.1%
J8s 0.991 0.0%0.0%0.0%19.3%80.7%
J4s 0.43 0.0%0.0%0.0%17.8%82.1%
ATo 0.03 100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
KTo 0.136 0.0%0.0%0.0%94.0%6.0%
QTo 0.471 0.0%0.0%0.0%54.1%45.9%
T9s 0.468 88.0%0.0%0.0%4.1%7.9%
T7s 0.315 76.5%0.0%0.0%0.1%23.5%
T6s 0.138 97.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%2.9%
T5s 0.014 95.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%4.5%
A9o 0.147 100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
K9o 0.09 0.0%0.0%0.0%88.8%11.2%
Q9o 0.531 12.6%0.0%0.0%42.1%45.4%
T9o 1.095 54.0%0.0%0.0%10.6%35.4%
97s 0.323 83.7%0.0%0.0%0.1%16.2%
96s 0.094 99.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.6%
A8o 0.003 100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
K8o 0.011 0.0%0.0%0.0%4.8%95.2%
J8o 0.703 0.0%0.0%0.0%20.1%79.9%
T8o 0.145 100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
98o 0.14 100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
88 0.665 0.0%0.0%0.0%13.1%86.9%
87s 0.062 100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
85s 0.003 100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
A7o 0.379 96.3%0.0%0.0%2.6%1.1%
K7o 0.215 0.0%0.0%0.0%53.4%46.6%
76s 0.144 0.0%0.0%0.0%0.3%99.7%
75s 0.092 0.0%0.0%0.0%0.3%99.7%
A6o 0.331 33.4%0.0%0.0%13.9%52.8%
65s 0.439 0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%
64s 0.302 100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
A5o 0.993 70.3%0.0%0.0%7.5%22.2%
55 0.004 100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
54s 0.347 100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
A4o 1.524 100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
44 0.731 0.0%0.0%0.0%2.1%97.9%
A3o 0.226 20.6%0.0%0.0%15.7%63.7%
33 0.147 100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
22 0.011 0.0%0.0%0.0%0.9%99.1%
The solver's strategy for the button's whole range on J♠ 8♠ 4♦ 2♣ K♥: check 54%, bet ⅒ pot (6 bb) 0%, bet 0.35 pot (21.5 bb) 0%, bet 0.6 pot (37 bb) 15% and all-in (69.4 bb) 31%.
The solver's strategy for the button's whole range on J♠ 8♠ 4♦ 2♣ K♥: check 54%, bet ⅒ pot (6 bb) 0%, bet 0.35 pot (21.5 bb) 0%, bet 0.6 pot (37 bb) 15% and all-in (69.4 bb) 31%.

Ranges, pot and stacks

  • The hand so far: 6-max cash, 100 big blinds · Button opens to 2.5 bb, big blind calls · Flop J♠ 8♠ 4♦: big blind checks, button bets 4.1 bb, big blind calls · Turn 2♣: big blind checks, button bets 24 bb, big blind calls · River K♥: big blind checks · Pot 61.7 bb · Button to act, 69.4 bb behind
  • Pot at this decision, including the bets in front: 61.7 bb
  • The button: 69.4 bb behind
  • The big blind: 69.4 bb behind
The button's range: 28.6 combos
AKQJT98765432
A AA 20 % AKs 6 % AQs <1 % AJs 34 % ATs <1 % A9s <1 % A8s <1 % A7s 4 % A6s 4 % A5s 4 % A4s 14 % A3s 11 % A2s 14 %
K AKo 2 % KK 28 % KQs 11 % KJs 9 % KTs 1 % K9s <1 % K8s <1 % K7s 6 % K6s 9 % K5s 10 % K4s 9 % K3s 10 % K2s 4 %
Q AQo 3 % KQo 13 % QQ 29 % QJs Not in this range here QTs 5 % Q9s 8 % Q8s Not in this range here Q7s 5 % Q6s 10 % Q5s 8 % Q4s 10 % Q3s 7 % Q2s 8 %
J AJo 26 % KJo 4 % QJo <1 % JJ 20 % JTs Not in this range here J9s Not in this range here J8s 33 % J7s Not in this range here J6s Not in this range here J5s Not in this range here J4s 22 % J3s Not in this range here J2s Not in this range here
T ATo <1 % KTo 2 % QTo 4 % JTo Not in this range here TT Not in this range here T9s 12 % T8s Not in this range here T7s 8 % T6s 3 % T5s <1 % T4s Not in this range here T3s Not in this range here T2s Not in this range here
9 A9o 1 % K9o 1 % Q9o 4 % J9o Not in this range here T9o 9 % 99 Not in this range here 98s Not in this range here 97s 8 % 96s 2 % 95s Not in this range here 94s Not in this range here 93s Not in this range here 92s Not in this range here
8 A8o <1 % K8o <1 % Q8o Not in this range here J8o 12 % T8o 2 % 98o 2 % 88 22 % 87s 2 % 86s Not in this range here 85s <1 % 84s Not in this range here 83s Not in this range here 82s Not in this range here
7 A7o 3 % K7o 2 % Q7o Not in this range here J7o Not in this range here T7o Not in this range here 97o Not in this range here 87o Not in this range here 77 Not in this range here 76s 4 % 75s 2 % 74s Not in this range here 73s Not in this range here 72s Not in this range here
6 A6o 3 % K6o Not in this range here Q6o Not in this range here J6o Not in this range here T6o Not in this range here 96o Not in this range here 86o Not in this range here 76o Not in this range here 66 Not in this range here 65s 11 % 64s 10 % 63s Not in this range here 62s Not in this range here
5 A5o 8 % K5o Not in this range here Q5o Not in this range here J5o Not in this range here T5o Not in this range here 95o Not in this range here 85o Not in this range here 75o Not in this range here 65o Not in this range here 55 <1 % 54s 12 % 53s Not in this range here 52s Not in this range here
4 A4o 17 % K4o Not in this range here Q4o Not in this range here J4o Not in this range here T4o Not in this range here 94o Not in this range here 84o Not in this range here 74o Not in this range here 64o Not in this range here 54o Not in this range here 44 24 % 43s Not in this range here 42s Not in this range here
3 A3o 2 % K3o Not in this range here Q3o Not in this range here J3o Not in this range here T3o Not in this range here 93o Not in this range here 83o Not in this range here 73o Not in this range here 63o Not in this range here 53o Not in this range here 43o Not in this range here 33 3 % 32s Not in this range here
2 A2o Not in this range here K2o Not in this range here Q2o Not in this range here J2o Not in this range here T2o Not in this range here 92o Not in this range here 82o Not in this range here 72o Not in this range here 62o Not in this range here 52o Not in this range here 42o Not in this range here 32o Not in this range here 22 <1 %

Each cell shows the share of the class's possible combos in the range.

The big blind's range: 43.4 combos
AKQJT98765432
A AA Not in this range here AKs Not in this range here AQs Not in this range here AJs Not in this range here ATs 14 % A9s 18 % A8s 15 % A7s 12 % A6s 14 % A5s Not in this range here A4s 11 % A3s 15 % A2s 22 %
K AKo Not in this range here KK Not in this range here KQs Not in this range here KJs 43 % KTs Not in this range here K9s Not in this range here K8s 26 % K7s Not in this range here K6s Not in this range here K5s Not in this range here K4s 41 % K3s Not in this range here K2s 1 %
Q AQo Not in this range here KQo Not in this range here QQ Not in this range here QJs 60 % QTs 4 % Q9s 4 % Q8s 45 % Q7s Not in this range here Q6s Not in this range here Q5s Not in this range here Q4s 17 % Q3s Not in this range here Q2s 28 %
J AJo 45 % KJo 55 % QJo 49 % JJ Not in this range here JTs 13 % J9s 10 % J8s Not in this range here J7s 7 % J6s 17 % J5s 24 % J4s 35 % J3s 2 % J2s 36 %
T ATo Not in this range here KTo Not in this range here QTo Not in this range here JTo 41 % TT Not in this range here T9s Not in this range here T8s <1 % T7s 3 % T6s Not in this range here T5s Not in this range here T4s 6 % T3s Not in this range here T2s Not in this range here
9 A9o Not in this range here K9o Not in this range here Q9o Not in this range here J9o 43 % T9o Not in this range here 99 Not in this range here 98s <1 % 97s 1 % 96s Not in this range here 95s Not in this range here 94s Not in this range here 93s Not in this range here 92s Not in this range here
8 A8o 15 % K8o 9 % Q8o Not in this range here J8o Not in this range here T8o 6 % 98o 4 % 88 1 % 87s Not in this range here 86s <1 % 85s <1 % 84s 2 % 83s Not in this range here 82s Not in this range here
7 A7o Not in this range here K7o Not in this range here Q7o Not in this range here J7o Not in this range here T7o Not in this range here 97o Not in this range here 87o 7 % 77 Not in this range here 76s <1 % 75s <1 % 74s 23 % 73s Not in this range here 72s Not in this range here
6 A6o Not in this range here K6o Not in this range here Q6o Not in this range here J6o Not in this range here T6o Not in this range here 96o Not in this range here 86o Not in this range here 76o Not in this range here 66 Not in this range here 65s 7 % 64s 21 % 63s Not in this range here 62s Not in this range here
5 A5o Not in this range here K5o Not in this range here Q5o Not in this range here J5o Not in this range here T5o Not in this range here 95o Not in this range here 85o Not in this range here 75o Not in this range here 65o Not in this range here 55 Not in this range here 54s 14 % 53s Not in this range here 52s 30 %
4 A4o Not in this range here K4o Not in this range here Q4o Not in this range here J4o Not in this range here T4o Not in this range here 94o Not in this range here 84o Not in this range here 74o Not in this range here 64o Not in this range here 54o Not in this range here 44 3 % 43s 3 % 42s 73 %
3 A3o Not in this range here K3o Not in this range here Q3o Not in this range here J3o Not in this range here T3o Not in this range here 93o Not in this range here 83o Not in this range here 73o Not in this range here 63o Not in this range here 53o Not in this range here 43o Not in this range here 33 Not in this range here 32s 1 %
2 A2o Not in this range here K2o Not in this range here Q2o Not in this range here J2o Not in this range here T2o Not in this range here 92o Not in this range here 82o Not in this range here 72o Not in this range here 62o Not in this range here 52o Not in this range here 42o Not in this range here 32o Not in this range here 22 Not in this range here

Each cell shows the share of the class's possible combos in the range.

Where the numbers come from

The numbers come from a commercial solver's precomputed solution for a 6-max cash game at 100 big blinds, with a 5% rake capped at 0.6 bb, opens sized by the solver (2.5 bb here) and several bet sizes on each street. The flop and turn follow the button's most-used sizes, 4.1 bb and 24 bb. On the river it can check, move all in or bet 6 bb, 21.5 bb or 37 bb. Two players see the flop. Pots with three or more players aren't covered, and neither are bet sizes outside this solution. Poker Skill read the numbers and wrote the explanation.

Line to this decision
F-F-F-R2.5-F-C · flop X-R4.1-C, turn X-R24-C, river X
Solver notation
Js8s4d2cKh . F fold, X check, C call, R2.5 a bet or raise to 2.5 bb, RAI all-in.

Solution read Oct 1, 2026. Each hand-class row is the solver's own total for that class. Ranges are shown by class: how many combos of each class are in the range, and what share that is of the combos the board leaves possible.

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