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Hand breakdown

Lucky's turn all-in for $33,600 against Berkey and Mase

Hustler Casino Live · Phil Ivey's first night · No-Limit Hold'em · $200/$200/$400 · October 22, 2021

Matt Berkey has Q♣ T♦ on a Q♥ J♠ 9♦ 4♥ board. Mikki Mase bets $20,000 on the turn, then Lucky moves all-in for $33,600.

You're Matt Berkey. Fold, call $33,600 or raise?

Turn

Your cards

Pot
$118,600
To call
$33,600

It's $33,600 to call for a pot of $152,200 with your call in it. Mikki Mase is still to act behind you.

The price to call is 22.1% of the pot after the call.

Your decision

Or skip to what happened

The video's title, thumbnail, graphics and commentary can give the result away.

Video by Hustler Casino Live on YouTube, starting at 3:33:30

The hand so far
  1. 3:33:57 Garrett Adelstein folds.
  2. 3:34:02 Gal Yifrach raises to $1,200. You, Mikki Mase and Lucky call. Phil Ivey folds.
  3. 3:34:38 On the flop, you check. Mikki Mase bets $3,000.
  4. 3:34:40 Lucky raises to $10,000. You call. Gal Yifrach folds.
  5. 3:35:02 Mikki Mase raises to $20,000. Lucky and you call.
  6. 3:35:32 On the turn, you check. Mikki Mase bets $20,000.
  7. 3:35:34 Lucky goes all-in for $33,600.

Turn

Players in the hand

Stakes
$200/$200/$400
Big blind ante
$200
Results Hidden Shown

Hides or shows the results of hands and nights, and is remembered on this device.

Show what happenedHide what happened

What happened

Matt Berkey folded after 2 seconds. On run 1, Mikki Mase showed K♥ 10♠ (a king-high straight) and Lucky showed J♦ 9♣ (jacks and nines). On run 2, Mikki Mase showed K♥ 10♠ (a king-high straight) and Lucky showed J♦ 9♣ (jacks and nines). Mase won the $132,200 pot.

  • Run it twice
  • Mikki Mase 88.9%

    Mikki Mase won ⁠$77,200

  • Lucky 11.1%

    Lucky lost ⁠$54,800

  • Gal Yifrach

    Gal Yifrach lost ⁠$1,200

  • Matt Berkey

    Matt Berkey lost ⁠$21,200

Run 1

Run 2

Final pot
$132,200

The read

Four players see the flop for $1,200 each. Mikki flops a king-high straight with K♥ T♠. Lucky has J♦ 9♣ for two pair, while Matt holds Q♣ T♦ for a pair of queens. The flop betting goes from Mikki's $3,000 lead to Lucky's $10,000 raise, then Mikki makes it $20,000. Both opponents call. On the 4♥ turn, Mikki bets $20,000 and Lucky moves all-in for $33,600. Matt folds before Mikki calls. They deal two rivers: 3♥ and T♥. Mikki's king-high straight wins both halves of the $132,200 pot.

Chance to win, street by street

  1. Preflop

    • Gal Yifrach: 30.4% chance to win outright (0.2% chance to split the pot).
    • Matt Berkey: 18.8% chance to win outright (1.3% chance to split the pot).
    • Mikki Mase: 27.2% chance to win outright (1.3% chance to split the pot).
    • Lucky: 22.2% chance to win outright (0.2% chance to split the pot).

  2. Flop

    • Gal Yifrach: 0.9% chance to win outright.
    • Matt Berkey: 2.1% chance to win outright (13.1% chance to split the pot).
    • Mikki Mase: 64.4% chance to win outright (13.1% chance to split the pot).
    • Lucky: 19.5% chance to win outright.

  3. Turn

    • Matt Berkey: 0.0% chance to win outright (8.3% chance to split the pot).
    • Mikki Mase: 80.6% chance to win outright (8.3% chance to split the pot).
    • Lucky: 11.1% chance to win outright.

  4. River, run 1

    • Mikki Mase: 100.0% chance to win outright.
    • Lucky: 0.0% chance to win outright.

    Mikki Mase wins on run 1.

    Lucky had no way left to win or split at a showdown on the river.

  5. River, run 2

    • Mikki Mase: 100.0% chance to win outright.
    • Lucky: 0.0% chance to win outright.

    Mikki Mase wins on run 2.

How long they took

  • 3:34:09 Matt Berkey calls $1,200 after 4 seconds.
  • 3:34:11 Mikki Mase calls $1,200 after 2 seconds.
  • 3:34:13 Lucky calls $1,200 after 2 seconds.
  • 3:34:40 Lucky raises to $10,000 after 2 seconds.
  • 3:34:42 Gal Yifrach folds after 2 seconds.
  • 3:34:51 Matt Berkey calls $10,000 after 9 seconds.
  • 3:35:02 Mikki Mase raises to $20,000 after 11 seconds.
  • 3:35:05 Lucky calls $20,000 after 3 seconds.
  • 3:35:17 Matt Berkey calls $20,000 after 12 seconds.
  • 3:35:34 Lucky goes all-in for $33,600 after 2 seconds.
  • 3:35:36 Matt Berkey folds after 2 seconds.
  • 3:35:37 Mikki Mase calls $33,600 after 1 second.

At the table

Run it twice.
Watch at 3:35:41

Tonight

The 11th-biggest pot of the night, out of 144.

Lucky's $33,600 put this hand 24th for the night's biggest bet or raise.

Matt Berkey, Lucky and Mikki Mase played four pots together that night.

Chance to win when the money went in

Each hand's share of the pot across every way the rest of the board could come, ties split, with every hand in the pot face up. At the table, nobody could see the others' cards.

  • Mikki Mase 88.9%
  • Lucky 11.1%

Mikki Mase had a 78.7% chance to win both runs.

Who got lucky, in dollars

What each player collected, minus their expected share of the pot when the money went in. The cards still to come decided the difference.

  • Mikki Mase +⁠$14,689 Mikki Mase: expected share $117,511, collected $132,200. Luck: +⁠$14,689.
  • Lucky −⁠$14,689 Lucky: expected share $14,689, collected $0. Luck: −⁠$14,689.

Every action, street by street

  1. Preflop
    1. 3:33:57 Garrett Adelstein folds Not shown in the broadcast's graphics. They put in no more chips and took no further part in the hand.
    2. 3:34:02 Gal Yifrach raises to $1,200
    3. 3:34:05 Phil Ivey folds Not shown in the broadcast's graphics. They put in no more chips and took no further part in the hand.
    4. 3:34:09 Matt Berkey calls $1,200
    5. 3:34:11 Mikki Mase calls $1,200
    6. 3:34:13 Lucky calls $1,200

    Pot: $5,000

  2. Flop
    1. 3:34:25 Matt Berkey checks
    2. 3:34:38 Mikki Mase bets $3,000
    3. 3:34:40 Lucky raises to $10,000
    4. 3:34:42 Gal Yifrach folds Not shown in the broadcast's graphics. They put in no more chips and took no further part in the hand.
    5. 3:34:51 Matt Berkey calls $10,000
    6. 3:35:02 Mikki Mase raises to $20,000
    7. 3:35:05 Lucky calls $20,000
    8. 3:35:17 Matt Berkey calls $20,000

    Pot: $65,000

  3. Turn
    1. 3:35:24 Matt Berkey checks
    2. 3:35:32 Mikki Mase bets $20,000
    3. 3:35:34 Lucky goes all-in for $33,600
    4. 3:35:36 Matt Berkey folds Not shown in the broadcast's graphics. They put in no more chips and took no further part in the hand.
    5. 3:35:37 Mikki Mase calls $33,600
    6. 3:36:01
      “We got our first casualty.”
    7. 3:36:05
      “Lucky is gone.”
    8. 3:36:14
      “So Feldman just told me that Lucky is coming back tomorrow.”

    Pot: $132,200

  4. River

    Pot: $132,200

  5. Second run

Before and after

Before3:30:44Garrett Adelstein, Phil Ivey and Lucky: Phil Ivey bets $15,000 on the river.After3:36:34Phil Ivey and Krish: Krish bets $3,200 on the river.

The players

The whole night: Phil Ivey's first night

Share this hand

The table as Lucky goes all-in for $33,600 on the turn. Stacks at the start of the hand: Gal Yifrach $230K, Matt Berkey $85.5K, Mikki Mase $297K and Lucky $54.4K. Board: nine of diamonds, queen of hearts, jack of spades and four of hearts.

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