Hand breakdown

Mariano's $3,500 decision against Peter and TJ

Hustler Casino Live · High Stakes $50/100 (November 6, 2026) · No-Limit Hold'em · $50/$100/$200

Harut folds, and Mariano raises to $500 with A♦ Q♣. Dumbledore folds, TJ calls on the button and Jungleman folds. Peter re-raises to $4,000 from the big blind, and AI Guy folds. Mariano has $222,300 behind and $3,500 to call into $5,350. Peter has $32,850 left, and TJ acts after Mariano.

You're Mariano. Fold, call $3,500 or raise?

Your cards

Pot
$5,350
To call
$3,500

It's $3,500 to call for a pot of $8,850 with your call in it. TJ is still to act behind you.

Your decision

Or skip to what happened

The video's title, thumbnail, graphics and commentary can give the result away.

Video by Hustler Casino Live on YouTube, starting at 4:48:20

The hand so far

  1. 4:48:46 Harut folds.
  2. 4:48:58 You raise to $500. Dumbledore folds. TJ calls. Jungleman folds.
  3. 4:49:10 Peter raises to $4,000. AI Guy folds.

Players in the hand

  • Mariano Hijack $222,800
  • TJ Button $133,350
  • Jungleman Small blind $72,650
  • Peter Big blind $36,950
  • AI Guy Third blind $119,750
Stakes
$50/$100/$200
Big blind ante
$100
Results Hidden Shown

Hides or shows the results of hands and nights, and is remembered on this device.

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What happened

Mariano raised after 24 seconds. Peter showed Q♥ J♥ (a pair of jacks) against Mariano's A♦ Q♣ (ace-high) and won the $74,550 pot.

  • Bluff
  • All-in
  • Mariano 5.9%

    Mariano lost ⁠$36,850

  • Peter 94.1%

    Peter won ⁠$37,550

  • TJ

    TJ lost ⁠$500

Board

Final pot
$74,550

What made it hard

After 24 seconds Mariano raised again to $10,000. A call would cost $3,500 with TJ, who had called on the button, still to act. A raise to $10,000 would make the pot $20,850 if TJ folded and Peter called, with Peter's last $26,850 behind. TJ folded A♣ 7♦, and Peter called with Q♥ J♥. Both held a queen, and Mariano's ace outranked Peter's jack. On J♣ 5♠ 9♦ Peter paired his jack, and both checked. On the 7♥ turn Peter checked, and Mariano bluffed $26,900 with ace-high, putting Peter all-in for his last $26,850. Only the A♠ and A♥ could still win it for Mariano, since TJ had folded the A♣. Peter called at once, and the 4♥ river changed nothing. He won the $74,550 pot less Jungleman's folded $50 small blind, which the house keeps: his $36,950 became $74,500. Mariano lost $36,850; his unmatched $50 came back.

Chance to win, street by street

Each street's chances are worked out on that street's cards, among the players who called, bet or raised at some point in the hand or were still in at the end. Each of them counts up to and including the street where they fold. A player who folded without calling, betting or raising isn't counted, even after posting a blind, and a street where a counted player's cards were never shown has no row.

  1. Preflop

    • Mariano: 39.9% chance to win outright (5.1% chance to split the pot).
    • TJ: 19.2% chance to win outright (4.0% chance to split the pot).
    • Peter: 35.7% chance to win outright (1.6% chance to split the pot).
  2. Flop

    • Mariano: 12.1% chance to win outright (1.5% chance to split the pot).
    • Peter: 86.4% chance to win outright (1.5% chance to split the pot).
  3. Turn

    • Mariano: 5.9% chance to win outright.
    • Peter: 94.1% chance to win outright.
  4. River

    • Mariano: 0.0% chance to win outright.
    • Peter: 100.0% chance to win outright.

    Peter wins.

    Mariano had no way left to win or split at a showdown on the river.

How long they took

  • 4:49:02 TJ calls $500 after 2 seconds.
  • 4:49:10 Peter raises to $4,000 after 5 seconds.
  • 4:49:36 Mariano raises to $10,000 after 24 seconds.
  • 4:49:39 TJ folds after 3 seconds.
  • 4:49:42 Peter calls $10,000 after 3 seconds.

Tonight

The 6th-biggest of the night's 87 confirmed pots.

Mariano's $26,900 put this hand 9th for the biggest bet or raise among the night's 84 confirmed hands that had one.

Mariano, Peter and TJ played 12 pots together that night.

Chance to win when the money went in

Each hand's share of the pot across every way the rest of the board could come, ties split, with every hand in the pot face up. At the table, nobody could see the others' cards.

  • Mariano 5.9%
  • Peter 94.1%

Who got lucky, in dollars

What each player collected, minus their expected share of the pot when the money went in. The cards still to come decided the difference.

  • Mariano −⁠$4,382 Mariano: expected share $4,382, collected $0. Luck: −⁠$4,382.
  • Peter +⁠$4,382 Peter: expected share $70,118, collected $74,500. Luck: +⁠$4,382.

Every action, street by street

  1. Preflop
    1. 4:48:46 Harut folds *
    2. 4:48:58 Mariano raises to $500
    3. 4:49:00 Dumbledore folds *
    4. 4:49:02 TJ calls $500
    5. 4:49:05 Jungleman folds *
    6. 4:49:10 Peter raises to $4,000
    7. 4:49:12 AI Guy folds *
    8. 4:49:36 Mariano raises to $10,000
    9. 4:49:39 TJ folds *
    10. 4:49:42 Peter calls $10,000

    Pot: $20,850

  2. Flop
    1. 4:49:51 Peter checks
    2. 4:49:59 Mariano checks Not shown in the broadcast's graphics. No bet went in, and the pot stayed the same.

    Pot: $20,850

  3. Turn
    1. 4:50:03 Peter checks
    2. 4:50:17 Mariano bets $26,900
    3. 4:50:17 Peter calls all-in for $26,850

    Pot: $74,550

  4. River

    Pot: $74,550

Folds marked * are inferred.

Before and after

The players

Share this hand

Mariano to act, with $3,500 to call. Stacks at the start of the hand: Mariano $222,800, TJ $133,350, Jungleman $72,650, Peter $36,950 and AI Guy $119,750.

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